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Old 01-12-2008   #1
EmporerEJ
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

It's been my experience that the adult business excells in a recession, and ESPECIALLY when people are unemployed.
It was true in all 4 of my video stores for 9 years, and it's been true in the online adult biz.

Idle "hands," and busy minds are good for business.
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Old 01-12-2008   #2
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

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Originally Posted by EmporerEJ View Post
It's been my experience that the adult business excells in a recession, and ESPECIALLY when people are unemployed.
It was true in all 4 of my video stores for 9 years, and it's been true in the online adult biz.

Idle "hands," and busy minds are good for business.
idle hands with no money are worthless also tube sites have made getting your porn fix very easy to do.Not like p2p's or newsgroups where you need a little no how and Im noticing a new trend started in dec and got one today charge back months old charges and they were in the site a shit load of times. I have a feeling those are going to rise. If its a blood bath that will be good for the survivors.
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Old 01-12-2008   #3
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

I dont think porn is recession proof but i do believe it is recession resistant. As it is an impulse buy people dont think about what they are spending as a whole on impulse buys like the do budgeted stuff.

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Old 01-12-2008   #4
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

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idle hands with no money are worthless also tube sites have made getting your porn fix very easy to do.Not like p2p's or newsgroups where you need a little no how and Im noticing a new trend started in dec and got one today charge back months old charges and they were in the site a shit load of times. I have a feeling those are going to rise. If its a blood bath that will be good for the survivors.
While I have little experience with today's online subscription model (Only from 1997-2000,) I have extensive, and authoritative experience with video rentals from 1985-1994. And that is my experience with "hard times." (which were MUCH worse, than anyhting we've seen today.
The closest comparison today is video rentals-subscription sites. However, if you throw in the dynamic of the "free You Tube" sex, I can see how it would be affected.

All it tells me is the subscription site model is in danger of serious failure.
Just like Buggy whip manufacturing, when cars came along.
I would think the personal "web girl" sites would be effected very little.
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Old 01-12-2008   #5
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

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Originally Posted by EmporerEJ View Post
While I have little experience with today's online subscription model (Only from 1997-2000,) I have extensive, and authoritative experience with video rentals from 1985-1994. And that is my experience with "hard times." (which were MUCH worse, than anyhting we've seen today.
The closest comparison today is video rentals-subscription sites. However, if you throw in the dynamic of the "free You Tube" sex, I can see how it would be affected.

All it tells me is the subscription site model is in danger of serious failure.
Just like Buggy whip manufacturing, when cars came along.
I would think the personal "web girl" sites would be effected very little.
There is a huge difference between then and now. Back then, there was no war draining the US budget. Back then, there was no fear of terrorism. Back then, there was still hope. Now it is a whole new ball game. But like I said, it will change. It always does.
However, you have been pounding your buggy whip drum for years and it still has not happened. The subscription model has been around for a century or more, so I see no reason to believe that it will die like typewriters or dial phones.
It is a fundamental business model that works for everything from mobile phones to cable providers to leasing a car. So why you think the sky is falling on this particular model is beyond me. Some may have to rethink how they deliver and/or present it, but the concept is intact.
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Old 01-13-2008   #6
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

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There is a huge difference between then and now. Back then, there was no war draining the US budget. Back then, there was no fear of terrorism. Back then, there was still hope. Now it is a whole new ball game. But like I said, it will change. It always does.
However, you have been pounding your buggy whip drum for years and it still has not happened. The subscription model has been around for a century or more, so I see no reason to believe that it will die like typewriters or dial phones.
It is a fundamental business model that works for everything from mobile phones to cable providers to leasing a car. So why you think the sky is falling on this particular model is beyond me. Some may have to rethink how they deliver and/or present it, but the concept is intact.
As usual, you try to be condescending in your reply. But since you aren't being completely boorish, I will answer your response.
War draining Budget? Irrelevant to the man on the street. It really hasn't influenced the average guy, and despite what you think you see in the media, the regular people just don't care. The only place it touches them is in the higher cost of gas, which is actually a boon for the online industry, if anything.
The man on the street also doesn't "fear" terrorism. I live within the "kill radius" of Three mile island, as well as peach bottom nuclear power plant, and haven't heard anyone mention it in reference to "terrorism."

In fact, the biggest scandal there (peach bottom) was the firing of the entire security company because of their sleeping on duty. That's "how worried" they are about terrorism.

And if you bothered to read the entire thread, you would have noted I wasn't the one saying the subscription model was "failing." But I do think there is a tidal wave coming, beyond all the free x tube sites.
Once the movie boys dump their old content, there will be a flood of cheap 'n ' ez content around. And will all be "new" to this generation.

I'm not worried, as my business model has nothing to do with the subscription model. We'll get by.
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Old 01-13-2008   #7
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

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irrelevant to the man on the street.
Not for long. What you fail to realize is that the price of gas is just the obvious manifestation of this oil crisis. Plastic has increased by a huge amount. A garbage can that cost twenty bucks now costs thirty and that filters through every walk of life, including, I am sure your business. I only mention you because you have been pounding this drum for years and nothing has changed. Your prescience has been abysmal in your analysis of this particular issue. The sky has been falling in Peach Bottom (wherever that is) for years. Not around here. My real income has fallen fifty percent in three years, yet my monthly income is still growing. But that is beyond my control and has been hammered by the falling dollar. However, I still live a very good life and travel three or four months a year and can still afford the insurance on my old sports car and live in an amazing place that I never dreamed I would be able to afford. So I say this only to make the point that I think you are wrong in your assessment of the future. However, I don't dismiss your acumen, because God knows you could be right and my bets are hedged in bricks and mortar.
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Old 01-13-2008   #8
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

and btw, you should be worried as anyone in retail with any sense is. You can't swim against the market when you have a non essential item aimed at the masses. You ain't selling Lambos.
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Old 01-13-2008   #9
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

picposts tgps tube sites free porn. waaah wahhh. everyone has been complaining about it for years yet how many new programs/sites do you see popping up daily?
and before you start hanging it all off on pornotube tell me the last time you've been over there and actually looked at that site?

get back to me after you have.
work smarter not harder.
ree shit is here to stay. you can make a meal out of free samples at costco yet how many people do you see leaving there with buggys full of shit?
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Old 01-13-2008   #10
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

Quote:
Originally Posted by gonzo View Post
picposts tgps tube sites free porn. waaah wahhh. everyone has been complaining about it for years yet how many new programs/sites do you see popping up daily?
and before you start hanging it all off on pornotube tell me the last time you've been over there and actually looked at that site?

get back to me after you have.
work smarter not harder.
ree shit is here to stay. you can make a meal out of free samples at costco yet how many people do you see leaving there with buggys full of shit?
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Old 01-13-2008   #11
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

Guys will cut back on tobacco and alcohol before they cut back on porn.
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Old 01-13-2008   #12
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

Quote:
Originally Posted by gonzo View Post
picposts tgps tube sites free porn. waaah wahhh. everyone has been complaining about it for years yet how many new programs/sites do you see popping up daily?
and before you start hanging it all off on pornotube tell me the last time you've been over there and actually looked at that site?

get back to me after you have.
work smarter not harder.
ree shit is here to stay. you can make a meal out of free samples at costco yet how many people do you see leaving there with buggys full of shit?
Says the man who doesnt depend on site memberships to pay his mortgage. lol
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Old 01-19-2008   #13
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

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Originally Posted by tony404 View Post
Says the man who doesnt depend on site memberships to pay his mortgage. lol
You are partially incorrect about that.
I am an affiliate for several sites that I rely on that make that mortgage payment for me monthly.

And Im pretty sure there I have a few membership sites out there still running with more to come.

The core of this debate is irresponsibile posting of copyrighted material on websites by individuals that do not own it.

Make no mistake Tony. Its THEFT in my book.

If your content is on any site unauthorized I encourage you to file a DMCA complaint to the host. If you need any help doing that I will be happy to walk you thru and I think that there is a form letter we have around here as well as one Alex has posted.

Let me be clear on this Tony... ANY site that has your content is THEFT and you should persue this with great vigor.

Those sites that you posted with 20 minute clips are STEALING if they do not have rights to that content.

This isnt the first time weve seen this done either. I think we saw many cool kids run a membership site from STOLEN CDs. Do a search on the Zoo and see how many of them have bragged about having a CD RIP site in the past.

If you think that I am not sympathetic about this kind of theft in the industry you are wrong and for that I apologize.

No different than Jace's rave buddies bragging about downloading FREE porn instead of paying for it.

This industry has created its own problem. The old way of...free sites are tease and pay sites are to please isnt how I see many webmasters promoting on free sites.

The paysites are the same. I remember Mike AI's old Purecash sites that didnt even show you a bare nipple until you paid.

Now you have morons that give away the full meal on the tour.
I dont know that it will ever end. Quite honestly after spending 10 days with many despirate people looking for a clue makes me think all of this will only get worse.

Remember this is a business that tolerates THEFT to its employees by labeling it with a cute term - shaving.

Make no mistake its THEFT.
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Old 01-13-2008   #14
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Default Re: How will the recession effect our industry?

I think your both right. the subscription market is just in need of repair. we are a business that relies on 15 minutes of entertainment and the bulk of the income relies on people forgetting or being too lazy.
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