Will Sadam Strike First?

[Mike AI]

If I was Saddam I would strike first, to cause chaos.

However, I think Saddam really thinks he can hold off American forces. He needs International Support - he cannot get this if he attacks first. So he will wait for US to attack, then he will go crazy and start launching anything he can. Saddam knows he cannot WIN, BUT he thinks he can bog the US down, and maybe hold out and remain in power.

His strategy for this would be to inflict as many casualties on the US as possible, trying to make war unpopular at home in US. Also create tons of civilian casualties - blaming them all on us, and try to get international support against the US to end the war. He thus cannot attack first.

The problem with his faulty thinking, is that its going to happen so fast, so quick there will be no time to cause the kind of casualties he thinks he can. Also this Country and the President are strong minded people, and will not back down from casualties, and opinions of those like France.

But this is my opinion.....