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Old 03-31-2003   #2
Rolo
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Saddam might hold on to power - just like the Taliban did in Afghanistan after the first few weeks of bombings. But then suddently his armies and cities will fall in matter of days, when they run out of supplies and soldiers (just like the Taliban did).

The real problem will be Baghdad... its not a problem to invade the city, but how many casualties can we accept?? From the army I have heard 15% as acceptable, but I remember to have heard the number 30-50% as "normal" in urban warfare... could probably huge losses halt an end to the war, and keep Baghdad under siege?

So far I agree the war have been a success - those in the media who thought that the war would be over in 3 days have seen to many movies - IMHO. Saddam have been at power for the last 25 years - he have had alot of time to prepare...
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