Looks to me like it is following the path of Katrina.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:K...2005_track.png
Katrina went south of Fort Lauderdale too. Didn't help at all with the fact that we had no electric for almost a week not to mentioned that I was unable to leave my neighborhood for three days due to fallen trees blocking all the roads out of my neighborhood.
On the plus side it should not be very crowded at the show at all.