Quote:
Originally posted by Evil Chris@Oct 30 2004, 09:36 AM
I'm sure that the margin of error for predicting how many will actually come out and vote is a lot higher and tougher to predict as well. This makes the polls even harder to read.
I have a hunch more people will be out voting this year in the US.
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That's why Gallup started including the whole "likely voter" scenario. I believe that came about after the failed Dewey/Truman poll. There have been a series of improvements at Gallup over the years that have lead to better sampling and smaller errors.