Quote:
Originally posted by RawAlex@Sep 20 2004, 04:14 PM
Colin, the Gallup pole is but a number. Because of the electoral college stuff, the numbers in pure percentage is moot. Remember, Gore had more overall votes... and you know who won.
I think the "poll tracker" things that look at each state give a much better indication of what is going on, and I think that will show much closer.
Alex
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Alex,
I'm not saying "Bush will win". Not by any means. This is a close election when you look at the electoral picture. I'm only pointing out that despite many of those who thought Bush would fade away or even that he was fading away - his campaign has been the much better one down the stretch. Bush has "momentum", not Kerry. Could it be reversed? Sure. But for now, what he have is Bush taking a stronger and stronger lead down the home stretch.
The biggest blow of this election was the Bush campaign painting Kerry as a "flip/flopper". There's been nothing on either side nearly as effective.
So again .. I didn't mean anything like Bush is running away with it .. but rather, the Bush campaign is outwitting the Kerry campaign and quite strongly since the campaign season began. Kerry's campaign reminds me of Bush I's re-election campaign. Bush's reminds me of the Texas campaign for governor. Rove "gets it".