Quote:
Originally posted by RawAlex@Jun 14 2004, 09:58 AM
Buff, you post is a clear indication of why Kerry will likely win this election (based on what is on the table):
The three items on the "bush should use" list, 2 of them are old old things... and every time you go there, there is a good defence of "Kerry went to war, Bush went missing". Bush camp has already learned that discussing military roles isn't a good deal for them, so they stay away from it.
The votes in congress thing has more power, but it is confusing in nature, and would take a long time to explain to the average voter. Not sure that it has power.
The "kerry should use" list contains many things that Bush couldn't or won't be able to combat: Deficits, dead soldiers, poor intelligence, poor public presentations, etc.
Kerry's team would be wise to keep their ad dollars on the sidelines for a little while, and let Bush run off at the mouth, then turn around and slam the living crap out of him for the last couple of weeks of the campaign. As long as Kerry doesn't do anything really stupid, he has this one pretty much in the bag.
Alex
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I wouldn't give the election to Kerry just yet. The handover in Iraq is this month and that leaves 4 full months plus a few days for things to settle down over there before our elections. If the steady diet of casualties we read and hear about every day trickles off and the stateside economy doesn't take before the election, and the Bush camp keeps Bush from mumble-mouthing too much, Bush has a decent shot at it.
Honestly, I am expecting a repeat of the 2000 election as far as the voter and electoral counts are concerned.