Buff,
Nice ones :-)
From what I've seen of the state polls, I think Kerry would win a majority of the electoral votes if the election were held today.
The critical area where Bush could really gain ground is the economy. To date, the Democrats have done a much better job of describing the economy as weak than the Republicans have of convincing people it is strong. Also, according to Gallup, oil prices have been weighing on people's opinion of the economy.
Considering the unprecedented polarity of this election, how does Kerry go about getting any of the 86% of Republicans who support Bush or how does Bush go about getting any of the 86% of Democrats who don't support him. Where will the swing voters go? I'm a swing voter and leaning toward Kerry but Bush could still get my vote depending on the next six months, I think.
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