Ofcourse VISA/MC want to increase consumer confidence, so more people will use their credit cards on the internet.
However *IMO* even after 3D have been released and adopted, then recurring will be possible, because its good for business and consumers want it.
You will probably not be able to receive chargeback protection on none qualifying 3D transactions, but you will still be able to process.
VISA/MC will keep lowering chargeback rates, at the same speed as more of the internet business moves to 3D, so in time it might be very risky to "blindly" do recurring transactions.
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"Chaos is the law of nature, order is the dream of man."
~Henry B. Adams (Historian) 1838-1918
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