Absolutely excellent points....and likely not far off the mark at all.
These are the types of things that I think we all know deep down, but dont like to think about too much.
The entire business model is going to need to change ultimately. Long over due in my opinion.
And another thing that needs to change is remove anonymity. Most of the scams on the internet occur because the person perpetrating whatever the scam is has the ability to remain anonymous and still profit. You eliminate a fair amount of fraud by getting rid of things like automatic instant signup for affiliates. Some basic verification should be performed....mail the signup code to a physical address if need be.
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