I figure the whole affiliate model is going to change. Most of the programs will just hire people to build feeder sites for them.
We've already seen the increase in things like hosted galleries (kind of cuts the middleman out of the TGP picture).
The days of someone just signing up and being able to send traffic will be over and it will be a more selective process.
The big traffic senders will just start opening their own sites and sending their own traffic to themselves and others in tight little circles.
I also see porn site going to a more hybrid look. Instead of just providing jerkoff material, there will be more incorporation of news, sports, entertainment, stock quotes, etc. There are already some sites playing with this and I'm sure it'll increase. The more value a site owner gives their surfer, the better, IMHO.
There will always be that surfer that wants to jerk off to large breasted women sucking dicks and taking it up the ass, so there will always be a market for good old fashioned porno.
We'll probably also see an influx of new blood who don't know about the profit margins of days gone by and will be satisfied living off margins that are mere fractions of what they used to be.
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