The writing is on the wall, starting with US based AVS systems, and I'm sure that each processor has their own system in place to either transition (or in the case of one processor, very quietly can them all) the sites to something that Visa US can live with from a compliance standpoint.
It's not been a big secret that you could conceivably hide sites that didn't pass Visa approval in AVS programs, hell my kid could have thought of that. At the end of the day I believe there are solutions that will work for the folks who think them through, and for the idiots who wait til the last minute, well, we've all seen what happens at that point.
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