I always file extensions and normally wait till Sept. I've heard (I was married to a CPA) that audits are random and many times based on zip codes. That there is a ratio of areas that seem to have more shadey activity. Palm Beach, Dade and Broward are right up there and turn out many audits. Smaller towns not so many.
I'm not sure about efilings but it seems to me that if you hurry into the database you're more likely to get spit out for an audit sooner.
Audits suck. Keep good records, that's for sure.
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