Quote:
Originally posted by Ironhorse@Dec 16 2002, 12:09 AM
It's largely irrelevant who runs against Bush because we have a choice of wars on the table and between those conflicts and the Osama hunt, nobody will want to change presidents in the middle of this.
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Actually, Bush runs the risk of "vietnam"... he has almost two years left to run, and unless the war on terrorism moves forward soon, it is going to start looking like a real problem. I suspect that, sadly, less and less news is going to have to do with terrorists being caught in Afganistan, and more and more to do with US soldiers dying in accidents and ambushes. Nobody likes a President who let's the boys die for no reason.
The Iraq thing won't last long, no matter what. Sort of like Afganistan without the follow up. It will be long over before the next election, but the war on terrorism will certainly be dragging it's feet along.
Bush has already had as good a rating as he is going to get, things peaked early, and there isn't anything in the future that is going to be a slam dunk positive thing to boost his popularity back up. If anything, the details of it all are going to catch up to him like it has to many other Presidents before him.
How he handles the details day to day, how he manages a government that isn't "at war" will certainly shape the runup to the election, and I am not sure how he will do. He wasn't having that good a time of it before 9/11, and once things get back to more normal, he will once again be back to politics as usual... then who knows?
Alex