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-   -   wig, I went short on bonds yesterday (http://www.oprano.com/msgboard/showthread.php?t=41276)

Winetalk.com 06-01-2005 09:25 AM

how much will I lose? (%% wise)

wig 06-01-2005 09:31 AM

I think you are right in the short term, but I think after a pull back it will go higher into September.

It has just gone too far as of late and turned all my lagging indicators to the positive side.

Winetalk.com 06-01-2005 09:32 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by wig@Jun 1 2005, 08:32 AM
I think you are right in the short term, but I think after a pull back it will go higher into September.

It has just gone too far as of late and turned all my lagging indicators to the positive side.

wig, short term is ALL I look for
;)

meanwhile...bonds are higher another 1 1/2 % this morning
;(

wig 06-01-2005 09:37 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Winetalk.com+Jun 1 2005, 08:33 AM--></div><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (Winetalk.com @ Jun 1 2005, 08:33 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'> <!--QuoteBegin-wig@Jun 1 2005, 08:32 AM
I think you are right in the short term, but I think after a pull back it will go higher into September.

It has just gone too far as of late and turned all my lagging indicators to the positive side.

wig, short term is ALL I look for
;)

meanwhile...bonds are higher another 1 1/2 % this morning
;( [/b][/quote]
Well, after my last short attempt I went at it again a couple weeks ago and got it shoved up my ass, so I feel your pain. ;-)

Winetalk.com 06-01-2005 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by wig+Jun 1 2005, 08:38 AM--></div><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (wig @ Jun 1 2005, 08:38 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'>
Quote:

Originally posted by Winetalk.com@Jun 1 2005, 08:33 AM
<!--QuoteBegin-wig
Quote:

@Jun 1 2005, 08:32 AM
I think you are right in the short term, but I think after a pull back it will go higher into September.

It has just gone too far as of late and turned all my lagging indicators to the positive side.


wig, short term is ALL I look for
;)

meanwhile...bonds are higher another 1 1/2 % this morning
;(

Well, after my last short attempt I went at it again a couple weeks ago and got it shoved up my ass, so I feel your pain. ;-) [/b][/quote]
no real pain yet....I only went with one leg, I never go "full throttle" on the first date nowadays
;)

shorting GOOG 15 mins before their earning report taught me a valuable lesson
;) Glad I covered @ 9:45. the first loss is the smallest loss
;)

wig 06-01-2005 09:47 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Winetalk.com+Jun 1 2005, 08:42 AM--></div><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (Winetalk.com @ Jun 1 2005, 08:42 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'>
Quote:

Originally posted by wig@Jun 1 2005, 08:38 AM
Quote:

Originally posted by Winetalk.com@Jun 1 2005, 08:33 AM
<!--QuoteBegin-wig

Quote:

Quote:

@Jun 1 2005, 08:32 AM
I think you are right in the short term, but I think after a pull back it will go higher into September.

It has just gone too far as of late and turned all my lagging indicators to the positive side.


wig, short term is ALL I look for
;)

meanwhile...bonds are higher another 1 1/2 % this morning
;(


Well, after my last short attempt I went at it again a couple weeks ago and got it shoved up my ass, so I feel your pain. ;-)

no real pain yet....I only went with one leg, I never go "full throttle" on the first date nowadays
;)

shorting GOOG 15 mins before their earning report taught me a valuable lesson
;) Glad I covered @ 9:45. the first loss is the smallest loss
;) [/b][/quote]
True, true. Good luck on it. :D

Winetalk.com 06-01-2005 09:48 AM

wig, we are in the same boat and BOTH can use some luck
;)

Almighty Colin 06-01-2005 09:50 AM

How do you short bonds?

Winetalk.com 06-01-2005 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Almighty Colin@Jun 1 2005, 08:51 AM
How do you short bonds?
wig shorts futures - highly leverages, high Risk / Reward trade

I buy mutual fund which shorts bonds - no leverage, less risk / reward trade

RYJAX is a symbol

wig 06-01-2005 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Winetalk.com@Jun 1 2005, 08:49 AM
wig, we are in the same boat and BOTH can use some luck
;)

Absolutely. I never turn down good luck. Now, if I can only figure out when it is approaching! :P

Almighty Colin 06-01-2005 10:00 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Winetalk.com+Jun 1 2005, 08:55 AM--></div><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (Winetalk.com @ Jun 1 2005, 08:55 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'> <!--QuoteBegin-Almighty Colin@Jun 1 2005, 08:51 AM
How do you short bonds?
wig shorts futures - highly leverages, high Risk / Reward trade

I buy mutual fund which shorts bonds - no leverage, less risk / reward trade

RYJAX is a symbol [/b][/quote]
I'm in PRRDX and PHK. Never tried timing bond market.

Winetalk.com 06-01-2005 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Almighty Colin+Jun 1 2005, 09:01 AM--></div><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (Almighty Colin @ Jun 1 2005, 09:01 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'>
Quote:

Originally posted by Winetalk.com@Jun 1 2005, 08:55 AM
<!--QuoteBegin-Almighty Colin
Quote:

@Jun 1 2005, 08:51 AM
How do you short bonds?


wig shorts futures - highly leverages, high Risk / Reward trade

I buy mutual fund which shorts bonds - no leverage, less risk / reward trade

RYJAX is a symbol

I'm in PRRDX and PHK. Never tried timing bond market. [/b][/quote]
PHK???
One of my favorite trading vehicles...I am buy it in 1000-2000 increments on the way down, sell in the same increments on the way up and collect monthly dividends in the process...
I still have 3400 shares left, will blow some if it goes above 14.50

;)

Almighty Colin 06-01-2005 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Winetalk.com@Jun 1 2005, 09:04 AM

PHK???
One of my favorite trading vehicles...I am buy it in 1000-2000 increments on the way down, sell in the same increments on the way up and collect monthly dividends in the process...
I still have 3400 shares left, will blow some if it goes above 14.50

;)

That is so funny. I was thinking about doing the same thing.

I bought some after reading Bill Gross' book.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detai...=books&n=507846

Winetalk.com 06-01-2005 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Almighty Colin+Jun 1 2005, 09:06 AM--></div><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (Almighty Colin @ Jun 1 2005, 09:06 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'> <!--QuoteBegin-Winetalk.com@Jun 1 2005, 09:04 AM

PHK???
One of my favorite trading vehicles...I am buy it in 1000-2000 increments on the way down, sell in the same increments on the way up and collect monthly dividends in the process...
I still have 3400 shares left, will blow some if it goes above 14.50

;)

That is so funny. I was thinking about doing the same thing.

I bought some after reading Bill Gross' book.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detai...=books&n=507846 [/b][/quote]
Bill Gross is a true bonds Guru, very RARE I've seen him wrong. He now says the low interest rates in USA will go for the next 2-4 years...

Almighty Colin 06-01-2005 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Winetalk.com+Jun 1 2005, 09:08 AM--></div><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (Winetalk.com @ Jun 1 2005, 09:08 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'>
Quote:

Originally posted by Almighty Colin@Jun 1 2005, 09:06 AM
<!--QuoteBegin-Winetalk.com
Quote:

@Jun 1 2005, 09:04 AM

PHK???
One of my favorite trading vehicles...I am buy it in 1000-2000 increments on the way down, sell in the same increments on the way up and collect monthly dividends in the process...
I still have 3400 shares left, will blow some if it goes above 14.50

;)


That is so funny. I was thinking about doing the same thing.

I bought some after reading Bill Gross' book.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detai...=books&n=507846

Bill Gross is a true bonds Guru, very RARE I've seen him wrong. He now says the low interest rates in USA will go for the next 2-4 years... [/b][/quote]
He sure is. I read his monthly articles at Pimco site.

Bretton Woods II ;-)


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